Keohane's argument is straightforward but pointed: the Boks had the All Blacks in serious trouble in the opening test before a single scrum penalty shifted the momentum and ultimately the result. The piece centres on that passage of play as the decisive turning point — not a gradual drift, but one specific set-piece moment that handed New Zealand a lifeline they didn't let go. Worth reading for the detail on how and why that scrum call changed the shape of the match.