Nick Mallett's reading of the Greatest Rivalry series goes beyond the scoreline. His core argument is that New Zealand's ball-in-hand, high-tempo approach has inadvertently suited the Boks — particularly their older players — because it avoids the kind of brutal physical attrition that France and England brought at the 2023 World Cup. The All Blacks are winning the try count (13 to 8 across three Tests) but losing the penalty battle at the breakdown and set-piece, which is where the series has been decided. Mallett's concern is that this contest, while confidence-building, shouldn't be mistaken for a World Cup dress rehearsal — the Boks' ageing core hasn't been stress-tested the way it was in France. A 3-1 series win in Baltimore would still matter, he says, because stringing three knockout wins together is exactly what Australia will demand.