This piece uses Lions tour history to argue that midweek results between Tests are poor predictors of what follows on Saturday. The 2001 Lions beat the Brumbies impressively and still lost the series; the 2017 Lions blew a lead against the Hurricanes and still levelled the series the following weekend. The parallel drawn here is that the All Blacks' comeback win over the Lions franchise at Ellis Park — overturning a 35-17 deficit to win 41-35 — tells us less about Saturday's second Test than the scoreline suggests. The more pointed argument is about what Erasmus takes from Tuesday night: the Lions franchise showed that a dominant scrum paired with structured attacking intent genuinely troubles New Zealand, which is precisely what the Boks failed to bring in the first Test. The piece frames the Boks' red-zone wastefulness and tactical bluntness in Cape Town as self-inflicted rather than a reflection of All Blacks superiority — and notes that in four years, Erasmus has not lost back-to-back Tests.