Gavin Rich makes no bones about it: the fourth test in Baltimore exists primarily for commercial reasons, and most rugby media on both sides agree the FNB Stadium last week was the real decider. But strip that away, and what remains is still Boks vs All Blacks with a trophy on the line — and Rich argues that matters more than the cynics are letting on. An outright RGR series win, he contends, deserves at least the same weight as a Lions series victory, and with two World Cups, three Rugby Championship titles and a Lions win already banked, adding the RGR would be a significant marker ahead of the 2027 World Cup. The key analytical question Rich poses is motivational: the Boks will have spent considerable emotional capital defending home soil, while the All Blacks face a deflation problem after failing to match the Fitzpatrick-era 'Incomparables'. Rennie has reshuffled significantly — partly through injury (Savea and Jacobson both gone), partly by choice — and Rich sees freshness as the one genuine All Black advantage. His read is that the Bok power game has hit its stride and should now be too much to contain, calling a South African win by 15 or more.